WHY RUPEE VALUE CHANGES?????
The Value of a Country's Currency is linked
with its economic conditions and policies, it depends on factors that effect
economy such as imports and exports, inflation, employment, interest rates, growth
rate, trade deficit, performance of equity markets, foreign exchange reserves, macroeconomic
policies, foreign investment inflows, banking capital, commodity prices and
geopolitical conditions.
Income
levels influence currencies through consumer spending. When income increases
people spend more and demand for imported goods increases, as a result it
weakens the local currency.
Balance
of payments which comprises trade balance (net inflow/outflow of money) and
flow of capital also effect the value of country's currency, another factor is
the difference in interest rate b/w countries. Let us consider the recent RBI
move to deregulate interest rate and it steps towards repo rate for maintaining
at its existing rate let us understand in simple terms by below diagram.
So from above diagram we can understand that inflation is caused by
MORE MONEY WITH PEOPLE
= MONEY SUPPLY INCREASED = INCREASED INFLATION
To control money
supply in the economy(and thereby fight both inflation and deflation). RBI implements monetary
policy using certain tools and one of them is REPO RATE{REPO RATE= INTERST
CHARGED BY RBI in case of borrowing from RBI by BANKS (say SBI) for short term
period.}
If you are looking for a machine that can print money, first meet who
actually owns one i.e. government. Money is printed by government, but they
cannot print all the money they need without the economy growing at the same
pace, the result can be catastrophic. Zimbabwe is one of the best example
In the modern economy government print money based on their assessment
of future economic growth and demand. The purchasing power of currency remains
constant if the increase in money supply is equal to the rise in GDP and other
factors influencing the currency remain unchanged.
Another factor that effect
rupee is foreign exchange reserves, these are assets in possession of central
bank (i.e. RBI) and it is usually denominated in foreign currency which is USD
in india. The increase in demand for USD will reduces the forex reserves (i.e.
increase of imports) and leads to increase in domestic currency supply (i.e
rupee),Hence the rupee will fall. Decrease in forex reserve is a sign of
economic ill health and can have a bearish effect on the domestic currency.
Thanks hari
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